The Kremlin knew what to expect from previous US administrations, as they all followed almost the same algorithm of management technology.
With the Trump administration refusing to follow the old political and diplomatic dogmas, the Kremlin may not know what to expect from the USA for the first time in modern history.
Above all, the Kremlin does not know what to do if the Trump administration deviates from conventional political science and diplomacy schemes.
In Moscow, considerable attention was paid to the statement by the American conservative journalist Tucker Carlson that the administration of the previous US president, Joe Biden, was after Vladimir Putin.
"The Biden administration tried to kill Putin," Tucker Carlson, who did a major interview with Vladimir Putin last year, said on his podcast this week.
Yet Trump's favourite journalist has provided no evidence for his claim. The top people in the Kremlin viewed this unpleasant narrative from a different perspective, while ordinary Russians were mostly shocked by it.
A messenger of Russian misinformation
In fact, those who originally spread this piece of misinformation probably did not have President Biden in mind. The Kremlin bureaucracy is worried about what to expect from President Trump.
The Kremlin has no idea what to expect from President Trump, so the top of the Moscow bureaucracy leaked this misinformation just to see how the new Trump administration would react.
The Kremlin is taking active measures against the Trump administration using vocabulary from the Russian intelligence services
The Kremlin is now taking active measures against the new Trump administration using vocabulary from the Russian intelligence services. They hope these measures will show what they can expect from President Trump if Vladimir Putin refuses to end a war on decent and fair terms acceptable not only to Ukraine but also to the entire free world.
To that end, whether he wanted to or not, Tucker Carlson acted as a messenger of Russian misinformation.
The Kremlin bureaucracy’s fear
The Kremlin bureaucracy fears that President Trump, who has the most powerful intelligence infrastructure in the world under his control, may assert his authority and evaluate initiatives related to the top Russian leadership.
It looks like the Kremlin bureaucracy enabled the leaking of the information to Tucker Carlson because they are determined to protect Vladimir Putin from any negative prospects. Their lives, their power, their impunity, and their lavish lifestyles depend solely on the well-being of Vladimir Putin.
If, for whatever reason, Vladimir Putin unexpectedly ceases to be Russia's leader, there will be a brutal internal power struggle between several heavyweights in Moscow for the right to be the next Russian leader.
The Kremlin bureaucracy, now in the service of Vladimir Putin, will be the first to fall in case this domestic power struggle breaks out. They will be the first in the line of fire, given that the army and various Russian agencies, as well as some other powerful stakeholders in the country, will immediately get rid of the top Kremlin bureaucracy, which has helped Putin maintain his power in the past by fostering competition and frictions between these powerful blocs in Russia.
The question has been asked; the answer is still pending
The Kremlin released this fake news into the public domain in the expectation that it would fuel pacifist and isolationist sentiments in America and because the Kremlin wanted to see what Trump's reaction to this theory would be.
Trump's first days in the White House have brought rather confusing messages for the Russian leadership. From the expected quick push to make peace in Ukraine, with Moscow hoping for understanding of its interests, Trump has used very harsh rhetoric towards Putin and the Kremlin.
Trump's shift surprised and outraged Moscow's propagandists, who had expected to be dealing with "our man"
Trump's shift surprised and outraged Moscow's propagandists, who had expected to be dealing with "our man."
The media "bomb" launched by the pro-Trump Tucker Carlson therefore appears to be the Kremlin's first serious and systematic action to test the true mood of the new American president and his administration towards Russia after the initial shock.